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Archive for December 6th, 2008

CBRE sets up real estate finance advisory services

Posted by luxuryasiahome on December 6, 2008

CB Richard Ellis has launched a real estate finance advisory service in Asia, headquartered in Singapore, CBRE Singapore managing director Pauline Goh told BT in a recent interview.

The business, headed by former Societe Generale investment analyst Alan Dalgleish, will be particularly valuable for clients during the current global credit crunch, when many Asian developers are looking for capital partners.

‘Particularly in this environment, there is an opportunity to match the requirements of those who have got capital – and it’s not all doom and gloom; there are plenty of players with capital – against those people who find themselves needing capital,’ Mr Dalgleish says.

Says Ms Goh: ‘We are in touch with over 20 funds (from US, Europe and Middle East) interested in Asia broadly. We are in position to point them in the right direction, which markets to go for, and at which point in time. So we could act as middleman to put the company needing the capital with the capital. In Asia, particularly in places like China, there are plenty of developers needing capital and we have lots of funds interested in putting money in China,’ Ms Goh said.

Other aspects of the new service in Asia include providing due diligence on behalf of potential investors keen on investing in real estate markets as well as in property funds. ‘This is a good time as any to start offering this service in Asia, because this is when companies do really need help. And we also want to position ourselves so we are ready for any recovery in the market,’ Ms Goh said.

Mr Dalgleish reveals that despite unprecedented turmoil in financial markets in the past few months, his unit has already clinched a few mandates.

One involves a party that would like to set up a fund to invest in a South-east Asian country. This will be a single-country fund but investing in multiple sectors of the property market within the selected country. ‘So we’ll give advice on establishing the fund, asset allocation, valuations etc,’ Mr Dalgleish says.

Another client is a foreign group specialising in shopping mall assets that is looking to invest in China. ‘So we’re assisting them with finding not just single assets but a long-term partnership with a Chinese developer (of malls),’ he adds. ‘The other area within the real estate finance team is that we are trying to advice corporates on sale and leaseback deals, in a more sophisticated way. What we do is to take a consulting approach to the transaction and look at its impact on the seller’s balance sheet, ensuring it will be compliant with international accounting standards,’ says the 47-year-old father of four kids who’s been working in Asia for over 20 years and who enjoys cooking.

Source : Business Times – 6 Dec 2008

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Developing best qualities in a downturn

Posted by luxuryasiahome on December 6, 2008

‘IT IS during hard times that the best qualities are developed – including perseverance, diligence, professionalism and the ability to think out of the box,’ says CB Richard Ellis Singapore managing director Pauline Goh. Thus she instils courage into her younger staff, telling them not to be afraid of a downturn.

‘Under the current climate, where downsizing and job cuts seem to be buzz words, we tell our staff that we’re in this together and the leaders will walk the talk and lead by example.’

‘We’ve been through economic downturns, during the Asian financial crisis and in 2001 and we’re well equipped to ride out this current storm. Senior management recently met and agreed to take a 15 to 20 per cent pay cut if necessary.’

Ms Goh has not implemented the cuts yet as the company’s revenue and profits this year are expected to almost match last year’s record performance, thanks to a strong first half. ‘But it shows the willingness and readiness of our leaders to do the right thing as a cohesive team, and also to lead by example.’

So far this year, CBRE achieved a 65 per cent market share for brokering property investment sales deals (these include The Atrium @ Orchard, Singapore Power Building, Hitachi Tower and 71 Robinson Road sold for a total of over $3 billion).

Its office leasing team has done more than 60 per cent of major deals (involving more than 30,000 sq ft) year to date.

Ms Goh declined to give details of the company’s financial performance in Singapore beyond saying that full-year 2007 revenue grew 82 per cent and net profit jumped 133 per cent over the preceding year.

During the Asian financial crisis in 1998 and 2001 property slowdowns, in what was then still not a widely practised initiative in Singapore, senior management led the way with pay cuts, taking the biggest hit of 20 per cent. The company managed to avoid retrenchments. Ms Goh hopes CBRE can repeat this act this time round.

The total remuneration bill makes up the biggest chunk (about 70 per cent in a good year like 2007) of the firm’s total business cost here.

However, what greatly aids CBRE’s ability to manage staffing costs in a downturn is that the variable component (comprising commissions and bonuses) makes up a significant portion of total remuneration bill. In a good year, this can be more than 50 per cent. ‘As the variable component is very much dependent on our property transaction volumes, that in itself is a moderating factor which works better in a downturn,’ Ms Goh explains in an interview with BT at CBRE’s office at Six Battery Road.

The first thing CBRE typically does when faced with a downturn is to see whether it can shave off discretionary spending, ‘because after staff cost, which is a big chunk of our total cost, there’s rental – and I’m really glad to say that we are in the right stage of the rental cycle – the other item is travel and entertainment’.

The firm took a decision in the third quarter of this year to cut its travel and entertainment expenditure by 75 per cent to 1.5 per cent of total cost. Ms Goh let on that CBRE’s rental lease will be up for renewal in two years. This is when most market watchers expect added pressure on office rents from the completion of significant new supply.

The group has a total headcount of about 370 in Singapore, of which about 44 per cent work at the headoffice and the remaining are site-based staff dedicated to clients. Ms Goh emphasises that ‘we’ve always been very selective in our hiring and been relatively operationally lean’.

‘As a result, when times get tough, like in the Asian financial crisis, it was so difficult for us to draw a line separating the bottom 10 per cent of performers from the rest, and saying: ‘OK, let’s get rid of them’. How we prefer to do things – and this is how we have been doing it – is we want to identify the poor performers regularly and exit them when the market is better. It could be that the person was a poor performer because he or she was a bad fit for us. But they could be a better fit elsewhere.’

Asked just how much leeway the Singapore operation of New York Stock Exchange-listed CB Richard Ellis Group has in avoiding job cuts, Ms Goh replies: ‘While other companies (elsewhere) within the group may decide to go for a headcount cut, in Singapore, if we decide that that’s not the way to go, there’s leeway for us, provided the end-game is the same. We achieve the same results.’

The silver lining from this downturn is that it has created an opportunity for CBRE to look around and hire good people. ‘We are actually talking to people. If we can find the right people, we will. But, of course, we want to be very, very careful,’ explains the 50-year-old mother of four children, aged between 13 and 18 years.

Asked how CBRE staff are motivated, she cites awards like Asia Circle of Excellence at the regional level as well as Excellence Awards at the local level. Having worked in CBRE for 25 years, Ms Goh believes in fostering team spirit and camaraderie. Recently the company held a food and heritage hunt around the island. ‘Each time we organise something like this, I’m gratified by the energy and strong team spirit of our staff. A highly motivated team is half the battle won.’

Source : Business Times – 6 Dec 2008

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Best Asia-Pac property bets

Posted by luxuryasiahome on December 6, 2008

TOKYO, Singapore and Hong Kong have emerged tops in the Asia-Pacific in a recent ranking of cities with the best property investment prospects for 2009.

They were placed first, second and third respectively as investors shifted their attention from emerging cities to mature markets, the survey by America’s Urban Land Institute (ULI) and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) showed. Shanghai, which was ranked first in last year’s survey, fell to fifth place this time around. Beijing fell from sixth to 12th place and Ho Chi Minh City from eighth to 13th.

Survey respondents said 2009 is the time to be ‘picky about markets and partners’, ULI and PwC said in the report, which was released here yesterday.

In recent years, many investors who had been elbowed out of deals in major Asian cities by core funds or highly leveraged private equity players sought refuge in secondary locations or products in an effort to find value. In today’s environment, however, investors are again focusing on prime assets in major locations.

At the same time, projects in secondary markets or even in less well-positioned prime areas are more likely to run into problems, especially as slowing growth lowers demand for commercial properties.

Respondents were also asked to rate cities according to their riskiness. Tokyo, Singapore and Sydney were the three markets seen as least risky.

But Singapore was ranked seventh for development prospects and has to reconcile itself to slower growth and less demand, the report said. Bangalore, Ho Chi Minh City and Mumbai were ranked the top three cities for development prospects.

In Singapore, the strongest buy and hold recommendations were for the hotel sector – 65 per cent of respondents advised holding, 24 per cent recommended buying and only 9 per cent suggested selling. The residential rental sector was also a strong ‘hold’ (65 per cent). But 23 per cent recommended selling and only 11 per cent advised buying.

Singapore’s office sector was rated a ‘hold’ by 54 per cent of respondents, while 23 per cent advised buying and 21 per cent recommended selling. For the industrial/distribution property sector, 52 per cent of respondents gave ‘hold’ recommendations, 34 per cent advised buying and 13 per cent said ’sell’.

The survey, based on 180 respondents ranging from global investors, property developers and brokers, looked at the investment and development prospects of 20 metropolitan markets in the Asia-Pacific region.

‘Asia shares the same liquidity crisis that the rest of the world is facing,’ said Stephen Blank, ULI’s senior resident fellow for finance. ‘Financial institutions – whether international or national, regional or local – are reluctant to extend credit as deleveraging reduces balance sheet lending capacity.’

And for Singapore, besides the credit squeeze, another problem is the seemingly generous pipeline of development projects which may be completed during a period of sagging interest from foreign business investors, said PwC tax partner David Sandison.

Source : Business Times – 6 Dec 2008

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Still healthy demand for construction personnel

Posted by luxuryasiahome on December 6, 2008

THE surge in local construction projects in these two years has catapulted the sector ahead of many others.

In 2007, construction demand rose to $24.5 billion, up sharply from $16.8 billion in 2006. This year, it is expected to soar to $30 billion.

Against the generally bleak backdrop, construction personnel across professional, technical, supervisory and tradesmen levels are still in demand.

New local entrants who join the industry can expect starting monthly salaries of $1,400 to $1,700 at tradesmen level, and up to $3,500 at the professional, managerial, executive and technical (PMET) level.

The Building and Construction Authority (BCA) has been actively engaging in public outreach programmes to promote careers in the construction sector.

‘It is timely for locals to consider construction-related job opportunities and contribute to the development of an excellent built environment,’ said Lam Siew Wah, deputy chief executive officer of BCA.

BCA has been working closely with the National Trades Union Congress (NTUC) and the Singapore Workforce Development Agency (WDA) through the Job Re-creation Programme to match locals to jobs in the industry.

At the BCA Academy, various funding schemes have also been put in place to help defray the training costs for new local entrants in built environment courses. Both new entrants and existing personnel seeking upgrading of skills can enrol in the spectrum of courses offered there.

In addition, the Construction Re-skilling for Employment (CORE) Plus Programmes have been incorporated into the Skills Programme for Upgrading and Resilience (SPUR), the recently launched $600 million government programme to upgrade the manpower capabilities of both companies and workers.

‘By including the courses under SPUR, we hope more companies can scale up the skill profile of their workers and build a competitive edge,’ said Chan Heng Kee, chief executive officer of WDA.

Added BCA’s Mr Lam: ‘Going forward, these efforts will go a long way in building up a core group of locals, who will lead and advance the construction workforce for the future development of Singapore’s built environment.’

Source : Business Times – 6 Dec 2008

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Wanted: More S’poreans in the construction industry

Posted by luxuryasiahome on December 6, 2008

MORE Singaporeans are being encouraged to join the construction industry to help ease the shortage of tradesmen and foremen.

The move is also aimed at reducing our reliance on foreign workers who currently fill the bulk of entry-level positions in Singapore.

To woo local workers, the Government will help defray the costs of training by subsidising courses at the Building and Construction Authority (BCA) Academy in order to re-skill and turn workers into trained electricians and construction plant operators.

The training will also equip new entrants with knowledge so they can take advantage of opportunities to become supervisors, managers, executives and technicians – known as PMETs – who typically earn more.

New local entrants can expect to earn between $1,400 and $1,700 a month while PMETs can take home between $1,600 and $3,500 per month.

Together with partners such as the National Trades Union Congress and the Workforce Development Agency, the BCA will tap into the recently launched $600 million Government programme – dubbed the Skills Programme for Upgrading and Resilience or Spur – to fund the various training schemes and subsidies.

‘We need to have more locals who can stay for the long term in the industry to form a core team to lead the transient foreign workforce that comes and goes,’ explained BCA’s deputy CEO (Industry and Corporate Development) Lam Siew Wah.

Currently, there are about 200,000 construction workers in Singapore, of whom about one in five is a Singaporean. The Government hopes to double that number in the long term.

Meanwhile, a new portal, www.buildingcareers.sg, was launched by Senior Minister of State for National Development and Education Grace Fu yesterday to get the message out to more people.

Speaking to about 300 graduates from the BCA Academy yesterday, she assured them that the current economic meltdown has not chilled the construction industry, which is ‘holding out well so far’.

She added that domestic construction demand is estimated at $30 billion this year.

Yet, many contractors have cautioned that the industry will slow down in the next two years, possibly as early as the second half of next year.

However, Mr Von Lee, executive chairman of home-grown construction firm Expand, said: ‘Workers do not have to worry too much as we would only slash jobs as a last resort.’

Source : Straits Times – 6 Dec 2008

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Don’t buy, don’t sell

Posted by luxuryasiahome on December 6, 2008

Sit tight and wait for recession dust to settle, say financial and real estate experts in a survey

PROPERTY investors here might feel like cutting and running but the best advice is to sit tight and hold on, according to a PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) report.

The report, now in its third year, asked about 180 experts from across the region – in fields from real estate to banking and property development – for their strategies on whether to hold their investments, buy more or sell.

Mr Stephen Blank, senior resident fellow of finance at the research firm Urban Land Institute, a co-publisher of the report, described the mood: ‘Interviewees say that we are in a wait-and-see mode, and everyone’s sitting on the sidelines waiting for the dust to settle.’

About 65 per cent of those polled urged investors in Singapore real estate to hold on to their investments in the hotel sector and in rental apartments.

‘Visitor numbers have been slipping, and in 2009, the hotel sector might not perform as well as 2008,’ said Mr Nicholas Mak, director of consultancy and research at Knight Frank.

‘Nevertheless, the mid-term outlook is still positive due to the many new offerings in the tourism and Meetings, Incentives, Conventions and Exhibitions (Mice) market, which resulted in the relatively high hold calls.’

Other sectors here, namely office, retail and industrial/distribution, each attracted hold recommendations from at least 50 per cent of those surveyed.

This was up on last year, when the hold recommendations varied from 29 per cent in the office sector to 48 per cent in the industrial/distribution sector.

The strongest buy recommendations came from the industrial/distribution sector, with 34.8 per cent of respondents urging investors to plough in more cash.

Mr Colin Tan, director of research and consultancy at Chesterton Suntec International, said: ‘The industrial sector is pretty diverse. Pockets of industries are doing well. This will help cushion the decline for the industrial sector.’

But there was a strong recommendation to steer clear of the residential rental sector, with only 11.6 per cent of respondents suggesting that now is the time to buy.

‘There are many owners whose units are completing in the coming 12 months. As supply outstrips demand, there will be intense competition, which will drive rents down,’ Mr Tan said.

The report also stated that the moment of truth has yet to arrive in the Asia-Pacific, indicating more gloom to come.

‘The biggest threat to Singapore, other than the squeeze on credit, is the seemingly generous pipeline of development projects which may be completed during a period of sagging interest from foreign investors,’ said Mr David Sandison, tax partner of PwC.

‘Apart from this, local players in retail and office space are also seeking to cut costs by downsizing and relocating to more affordable parts of the island.

‘Acceleration of government infrastructure projects and other measures aimed at buoying the economy should, however, be sufficient to stabilise the market.’

There was one bright spot in the report: Singapore maintained its second position from last year among 20 Asia-Pacific cities for investment prospects. Tokyo was first.

Source : Straits Times – 6 Dec 2008

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URA plan draws strong interest

Posted by luxuryasiahome on December 6, 2008

THE Master Plan 2008 – an ambitious blueprint setting out Singapore’s physical development for the next 10 to 15 years – has attracted plenty of attention from the public.

Its exhibition received more than 200,000 visitors over the past six months, and about 300 submissions have been made – 80 per cent of them online – according to the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) yesterday.

The feedback ranged across several aspects of the plan, which was unveiled in May by National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan.

It contains ambitious schemes to transform Jurong East, Kallang and Paya Lebar into sub-metropolitan hubs of offices, hotels, education and entertainment centres, parks and homes.

Some of the feedback included calls for the allocation of space for activities in Paya Lebar Central. The Station Plaza in front of the Paya Lebar MRT station and the plaza space next to the civic centre at Geylang Serai were cited as possible venues.

Feedback on the Leisure Plan was generally positive, including comments from members of the public that they were excited about the 150km round-island route, added the URA. Suggestions were also made on ways to enhance Jurong Lake District to improve transport with people movers and river taxis.

The URA said it would study the suggestions and is ‘working with other agencies to see how we can incorporate (the public feedback) in our plan’.

The Master Plan was gazetted – or made official – yesterday. It can be viewed at the URA Centre in Maxwell Road.

Source : Straits Times – 6 Dec 2008

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Dubai speculators quit amid loan drought

Posted by luxuryasiahome on December 6, 2008

THE classified ads in Dubai now read like an obituary for a real estate market that until a few months ago seemed immune to the global credit crisis.

A Turkish investor, who identified himself as Sebat, took out 10 bright yellow ads in the Nov 25 edition of Gulf News, the United Arab Emirates’ (UAE) biggest newspaper, with the headline: ‘DIRECT FROM OWNER DISTRESS SALE!!!’ Sebat said he used to be able to buy four or five properties at a time and sell them the next day for a profit of as much as 5 per cent.

‘There is panic in the market,’ said Sebat, 52, who wouldn’t give his full name because he’s juggling 60 properties.

The property bubble in the desert emirate – home to the world’s tallest building, most expensive hotel suite and largest man-made islands – is bursting as scarce credit and slumping oil prices have international investors scurrying to dump assets.

That may shatter Dubai’s goal of creating a sustainable economy by building the Persian Gulf hub for finance and tourism, forcing it to depend on oil-rich neighbour Abu Dhabi for financing.

‘Dubai is more precarious than it has ever been,’ said Christopher Davidson, author of Dubai: The Vulnerability of Success (2008, Columbia University Press). ‘If the property industry collapses in Dubai, it will be finished. Dubai’s relative autonomy will come to an abrupt end.’

The emirate’s push into luxury property developments and tourist attractions was diversification on ‘paper sand’, said Davidson, a professor of Middle Eastern affairs at Durham University in the UK.

Real estate prices may drop 20 per cent or more, analysts at EFG-Hermes Holding SAE, the biggest publicly traded investment bank in Egypt, said in a report this week.

Nakheel PJSC, the Dubai state-owned developer of three palm-shaped islands in the Persian Gulf, said on Nov 30 that it is scaling back or delaying work on some of its US$30 billion in projects, including the 62-storey Trump International Hotel & Tower near the Mega Yacht Club on the trunk of Palm Jumeirah.

The sheikhdom may need help from Abu Dhabi and the UAE to service its debt, according to Moody’s. Dubai borrowed US$80 billion to finance its transformation and make up for a lack of natural resources. It has just 4 billion barrels of oil reserves, compared with Abu Dhabi’s 92.2 billion barrels. But Dubai officials say the emirate can weather the storm.

Source : Business Times – 6 Dec 2008

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