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Archive for May 19th, 2008

Record high UK property asking prices in May

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

Asking prices for property in England and Wales rose to a record high in May, a survey showed on Monday, with house price inflation accelerating despite expectations for a much weaker housing market this year.

Property website Rightmove said average asking prices rose 2.2 per cent on a year ago between April 13 and May 10 to hit an average £242,500 (US$472,000), compared with a 1.3 per cent annual rise in the month before.

Prices increased 1.2 per cent on the month. The figures are not adjusted to take seasonal factors into account but suggest there may still be some momentum left in the market as it trends lower.

Economists are predicting falls in house prices of about 10 per cent this year and Bank of England (BOE) policymaker David Blanchflower has warned prices could dive by about a third unless aggressive, immediate action is taken.

However, interest rates are unlikely to come down fast given worries over inflation and, after a decade in which house prices nearly trebled, BOE Governor Mervyn King has indicated a moderation in prices is probably needed. — REUTERS

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

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Record high UK property asking prices in May

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

Asking prices for property in England and Wales rose to a record high in May, a survey showed on Monday, with house price inflation accelerating despite expectations for a much weaker housing market this year.

Property website Rightmove said average asking prices rose 2.2 per cent on a year ago between April 13 and May 10 to hit an average £242,500 (US$472,000), compared with a 1.3 per cent annual rise in the month before.

Prices increased 1.2 per cent on the month. The figures are not adjusted to take seasonal factors into account but suggest there may still be some momentum left in the market as it trends lower.

Economists are predicting falls in house prices of about 10 per cent this year and Bank of England (BOE) policymaker David Blanchflower has warned prices could dive by about a third unless aggressive, immediate action is taken.

However, interest rates are unlikely to come down fast given worries over inflation and, after a decade in which house prices nearly trebled, BOE Governor Mervyn King has indicated a moderation in prices is probably needed. — REUTERS

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

Posted in General, Overseas Property | Tagged: , , , | 2 Comments »

Record high UK property asking prices in May

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

Asking prices for property in England and Wales rose to a record high in May, a survey showed on Monday, with house price inflation accelerating despite expectations for a much weaker housing market this year.

Property website Rightmove said average asking prices rose 2.2 per cent on a year ago between April 13 and May 10 to hit an average £242,500 (US$472,000), compared with a 1.3 per cent annual rise in the month before.

Prices increased 1.2 per cent on the month. The figures are not adjusted to take seasonal factors into account but suggest there may still be some momentum left in the market as it trends lower.

Economists are predicting falls in house prices of about 10 per cent this year and Bank of England (BOE) policymaker David Blanchflower has warned prices could dive by about a third unless aggressive, immediate action is taken.

However, interest rates are unlikely to come down fast given worries over inflation and, after a decade in which house prices nearly trebled, BOE Governor Mervyn King has indicated a moderation in prices is probably needed. — REUTERS

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

Posted in General, Overseas Property | Tagged: , , , | 2 Comments »

Record high UK property asking prices in May

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

Asking prices for property in England and Wales rose to a record high in May, a survey showed on Monday, with house price inflation accelerating despite expectations for a much weaker housing market this year.

Property website Rightmove said average asking prices rose 2.2 per cent on a year ago between April 13 and May 10 to hit an average £242,500 (US$472,000), compared with a 1.3 per cent annual rise in the month before.

Prices increased 1.2 per cent on the month. The figures are not adjusted to take seasonal factors into account but suggest there may still be some momentum left in the market as it trends lower.

Economists are predicting falls in house prices of about 10 per cent this year and Bank of England (BOE) policymaker David Blanchflower has warned prices could dive by about a third unless aggressive, immediate action is taken.

However, interest rates are unlikely to come down fast given worries over inflation and, after a decade in which house prices nearly trebled, BOE Governor Mervyn King has indicated a moderation in prices is probably needed. — REUTERS

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

Posted in General, Overseas Property | Tagged: , , , | 2 Comments »

Record high UK property asking prices in May

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

Asking prices for property in England and Wales rose to a record high in May, a survey showed on Monday, with house price inflation accelerating despite expectations for a much weaker housing market this year.

Property website Rightmove said average asking prices rose 2.2 per cent on a year ago between April 13 and May 10 to hit an average £242,500 (US$472,000), compared with a 1.3 per cent annual rise in the month before.

Prices increased 1.2 per cent on the month. The figures are not adjusted to take seasonal factors into account but suggest there may still be some momentum left in the market as it trends lower.

Economists are predicting falls in house prices of about 10 per cent this year and Bank of England (BOE) policymaker David Blanchflower has warned prices could dive by about a third unless aggressive, immediate action is taken.

However, interest rates are unlikely to come down fast given worries over inflation and, after a decade in which house prices nearly trebled, BOE Governor Mervyn King has indicated a moderation in prices is probably needed. — REUTERS

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

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US economy weak, but worst is over: economist survey

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

The US economy appears to have weathered the housing and credit crisis but will show sluggish growth for the near future, a survey of business economists showed on Monday.

The National Association of Business Economists survey of 52 professional forecasters suggested that the economy will avert a disaster but will remain weak into 2009.

‘Although housing and credit markets will gradually loosen their grip, US economic growth is expected to only slowly return to health,’ said Ellen Hughes-Cromwick, NABE president and chief economist at Ford Motor Company.

‘While our panel anticipates an improvement in credit markets and a bottoming out in housing this year, the forecasters have marked down their estimates of growth for both 2008 and 2009.’ The NABE panel projects on average gross domestic product growth at a tepid 0.4 per cent annual rate in the second quarter, after two straight quarters of output expanding at a 0.6 per cent pace.

The panel is still split on whether the current episode will be classified as a recession, which is generally defined as two consecutive quarters of decline but is subject to an official call by an economic panel.

In the NABE survey, 56 per cent of the forecasters said a recession has already begun or will develop in 2008, compared with 45 per cent in the February survey.

The panel sees GDP growing at an annualised rate averaging 2.1 per cent in the second half of 2008, down substantially from the prior survey estimate of 2.8 per cent.

The outlook for 2009 was also marked down slightly, with the group seeing growth of 2.7 per cent over the course of the year, compared with 2.9 per cent in the last report.

The outlook for housing starts was little changed, with starts expected to total 990,000 units in 2008 and 1.12 million in 2009. Home prices are predicted to fall 4.8 per cent in 2008 and retreat further by 0.3 per cent in 2009.

NABE economists called for a rise in the dollar, projecting the euro to weaken to US$1.50 at the end of 2008 and US$1.40 at the end of 2009, from a recent April peak of US$1.60.

The economists see the unemployment rate averaging 5.3 per cent in 2008 and 5.6 per cent in 2009.

Inflation appears to be rising, according to the survey. The panel’s estimate for consumer prices calls for a 3.1 per cent increase during 2008 compared with the 2.5 per cent projected in February. But the economists see an easing of inflation to 2.3 per cent over the course of 2009.

For oil, NABE respondents expected an average price of US$98 a barrel in December 2008 and US$92 in December 2009 – below current market quotes, but much higher than the figures of US$84 and US$80 in the last survey.

The consensus of the economists surveyed is that the Federal Reserve will hold its federal funds interest rate target at 2.00 perUS$cent this year before raising it to 3.00 perUS$cent. — AFP

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

Posted in General, Global Economy | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Punggol to have new shopping mall, more flats

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

RESIDENTS in Punggol will have a new shopping mall and more fellow residents within the next three years.

The new town, which already has 16,700 flats, has another 2,100 being built now.

The Housing Board also recently launched 1,700 flats and will launch another 4,000 by year’s end, said National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan last Saturday at the launch of a two-day exhibition on the progress in Punggol.

He added that, with more residents calling Punggol home, it would become feasible to build more commercial and public facilities.

One being planned is a shopping mall about the size of Junction 8 in Bishan.

The first sale site for a mixed commercial and private residential development will be launched in the town centre in the next two to three years.

Punggol’s 4.2km waterway through the town will be used to bring water closer to the community. The Housing Board recently completed technical studies on it and works will begin next year. 

A landscape masterplan design competition is being held to tap the expertise of urban planners, architects and landscape architects, who will be expected to contribute designs and concepts for the waterway, two tributaries and 10m-wide promenades along the waterway and town park.

The HDB plans to launch the first public housing site along a waterfront after major works of the waterway are completed in the next two to three years.

Several plots of land will also be set aside for private residential projects.

Work on the coastal promenade will begin soon, while the development of a rustic park on Coney Island will start next year. Other facilities being worked on include a horse-riding centre and a golf range.

Source : Straits Times – 19 May 2008

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Pre-sold projects lend support as developers undergo correction

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

Greater blow from weaker sales will be felt only over next few years: analysts

PROPERTY developers were mostly hit by slower residential sales in their first quarter results, and for some, they also suffered a lack of fair value gains in investment properties. But even as the residential segment undergoes a correction this year, analysts do not foresee significant earnings weakness as revenue from pre-sold projects is still lending support.

For developers with a large amount of pre-sold projects and are able to hold back new units to await better prices, the greater blow from the weaker home sales will only kick in over the next few years if market sentiment does not pick up, analysts say.

‘The earnings for this year have been locked in by the sales done in the past two to three years,’ said UOB KayHian analyst Vikrant Pandey. ‘Sales have slowed down this year, but the impact will only be felt two, three years down the line when the actual construction takes place.’

Investors have been greeted with a mixed bag of earnings results from property developers for the first quarter. The impact of the US housing problems and global economic slowdown was felt in terms of lower transaction volumes as developers held back new launches in a quiet market.

There was also the timing issue in recognising earnings from development projects on a percentage of completion basis, which added to the earnings volatility, analysts say.

‘Q1 is typically a slower quarter for developers simply because of the holiday season and development is slower,’ said CIMB-GK analyst Donald Chua. The recognition of earnings from developments that are at the initial stages of construction is hence slower.

Keppel Land reported a 3.5 per cent dip in net profit to $60.3 million due mainly to lower contribution from property trading with the completion of several projects in Singapore and overseas and a writeback on provision in its property investment segment.

In the absence of fair value gains, CapitaLand’s first-quarter net profit fell 59.3 per cent year on year to $247.47 million; Overseas Union Enterprise’s (OUE) net profit slipped 69.2 per cent to $23.67 million and United Engineers’ (UE) net profit slumped 90 per cent to $1.2 million. Excluding fair value adjustments, CapitaLand’s net profit would have jumped 36.5 per cent year on year, while OUE and UE would have marked smaller net profit declines.

City Developments, however, which adopts the policy of stating net profit at cost less accumulated depreciation and impairment losses, posted a net profit growth of 30.8 per cent to $164.97 million in its fiscal first quarter despite its revenue falling 1.3 per cent from a year ago to $758.75 million.

Analysts noted that the practice of booking in revaluation differences in investment properties under the Financial Reporting Standard 40 is adding to the earnings volatility. This accounting method is seen inflating developers’ bottomlines last year and cutting into their bottomlines in a poorer market condition like now.

But analysts added that they do not treat revaluation gains as part of core earnings and strip off revaluation gains from headline numbers before analysis. While there has been suggestions that FRS40 may not be an accurate reflection of earnings, it does provide a clearer picture of the actual values of properties owned by developers.

For the rest of this year, analysts do not expect developers to report fair value losses as there is room for rental upside, particularly in the office segment where new supply is not coming through yet. ‘Rentals are coming from a very low base. There’s still a lot of catching up to do,’ Mr Pandey said, pointing to the heady asking prices for some prime grade office that have shot up to $17 per square foot.

But developers that lack strong cashflow from pre-sold projects will likely find the going tougher in an environment of low or zero revaluation surplus and slower home sales, analysts caution. Without holding power to defer launches, they will have to slash prices for new projects and accept lower margins.

For this year, Mr Pandey is factoring in a 20 per cent correction in the high-end segment, 13 per cent for the mid-end segment and 5 per cent for the mass market segment.

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

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Profiteering adds to construction woes

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

As costs of materials rise, some suppliers default on earlier contracts to make more

THE last thing the construction industry needs now is another roadblock. But with the cost of materials and shortages soaring, the opportunity to inflate prices is too much for some errant suppliers and sub-contractors to resist.

Sources told BT that some suppliers of building materials have been opting to default on earlier contracts because the current demand and prices are so strong, they can easily secure more profitable contracts elsewhere, stock piling materials in the meantime.

To add to the strain, labour supply has become so tight that crane operators, for instance, are said to be commanding salaries upwards of $8,000 per month.

A check with the Building and Construction Authority (BCA) reveals, however, that this opportunistic behaviour is not widespread – yet.

A BCA spokesman also said it has not received feedback of contract defaults by suppliers of steel and other construction materials, or of any delay in construction works due to such default of contractual obligations.

However, BCA said: ‘We do understand that the suppliers have increased their importation and stocking up of steel rebars in view of the surging prices. Suppliers have also shortened the period of supply contract for rebars from the previous 12 months to the current six months.’

‘Contractors and developers have to resolve the price issue based on their business practices, relationship and understanding. For projects which adopt price fluctuation for these materials, the cost impact on the contractors will be minimal,’ added BCA.

Construction companies that BT spoke with had mixed reactions to the situation.

A spokesman for United Engineers Ltd said: ‘The industry is particularly seeing some delays in projects, either in the midst of or commencing construction, that were awarded before the construction boom as prices negotiated at that time were definitely lower compared to now.’

Straits Construction director Wong Chee Herng said the industry has seen some smaller suppliers defaulting on contracts and causing delays but the level is still ‘manageable’.

He added: ‘Prices have moved up and there is no point lamenting . . . It’s a choice of either negotiating or just walking away.’

With so much uncertainty, Straits Construction is more selective about tendering for jobs. ‘If we feel we can’t deliver, we won’t tender,’ Mr Wong said.

Other construction companies like Hiap Hoe and Sim Lian say they are not facing any delays.

Giving an insight into how suppliers are also facing the same challenges, Lee Metal Group executive director Lee Heng Thiam revealed how a steel supplier for Marina Bay Sands was contracted to supply 85,000 tonnes over a two- year period at US$600 per tonne. However, the price of this steel has since risen to US$1,000. ‘It is too much for anyone to bear,’ he said. And while the particular supplier was able to renegotiate the contract, Mr Lee said: ‘I think they will still make a loss.’

To mitigate the risks, Lee Metal has to hedge its position. ‘In the past, the practice was to sell first and buy later; now, it’s the other way around,’ he explained. This means it keeps a stockpile of 6-8 months worth of supply to ensure it can fulfil its obligations.

Price fluctuation clauses are not a big help to suppliers who stockpile. ‘If prices are on a downward trend, we are in trouble,’ he explained. ‘Buying and selling needs to be managed tightly.’

HG Metal manages its stock on a tighter basis by maintaining 3-4 months worth of inventory amounting to as much as $200 million worth in stock at any one time. HG Metal CEO Wee Piew also said that it does not ‘lock in’ its prices. ‘Most major suppliers don’t set contracts,’ he added.

‘The only issue is when a big contractor wants to lock in prices. Then they have to deal with steel mills directly,’ he added.

These mills are usually in China but both HG Metal and Lee Metal say their supply comes from international traders instead because of the uncertain supply from Chinese mills.

PSL Holdings, a foundation engineering specialist contractor, says that its operators of construction cranes and other vehicles are commanding ‘very high salaries’ but it has managed to factor increasing manpower costs into its contracts. ‘The effect on our margins is minimal,’ added a PSL spokesman.

PSL says it has not encountered delays so far but apart from rising salaries, it is faced with rising costs due to surging diesel prices as well as shortage of personnel. PSL said: ‘We have managed to mitigate the higher costs because of the short duration of our projects.’

Developers that BT spoke too also say they are not facing delays.

City Developments Ltd (CDL) says it has not encountered any significant delays from its contractors. ‘Perhaps they have made early confirmation orders on the construction materials and are not really affected by the present rising costs of materials,’ added CDL’s spokesman.

Frasers Centrepoint COO Cheang Kok Kheong did say that to counter rising costs, it has had to take certain steps including continuously reviewing its plans and specifications to ensure that cost-effective construction methods and alternatives are considered. ‘In addition, we have improved and streamlined our procurement methods to get bulk pricing for construction supplies from our associates,’ he added.

The construction industry is perhaps beginning to show signs of strain, and may need more help.

To this end, BCA says it is also working with the Real Estate Developers’ Association of Singapore to encourage their member developers to make prompt payment to help ease the cashflow of the contractors.

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

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US property set to recover in H2: Deutsche CEO

Posted by luxuryasiahome on May 19, 2008

THE end of the credit crisis is getting closer and the US real estate market should recover in the second half of the year, Deutsche Bank chief executive Josef Ackermann said.

‘I think that we are getting closer to the end of the financial crisis,’ Mr Ackermann told the Swiss Sunday newspaper Sonntagsblick. ‘It is not fully over yet, but the signs from the United States are encouraging.’ He said that the pragmatic approach in the US to resolve the crisis should start to pay off soon. ‘We should feel the effects in the second half of the year already and see a strong recovery of the US real estate market,’ he said.

The fallout from US households’ defaulting on home payments triggered the global crisis, leading to a squeeze in credit markets in Europe and the US as banks stopped lending for fear of being exposed to the sub-prime problems.

Mr Ackermann urged banks to draw lessons from the crisis quickly. ‘I am worried that otherwise governments will step up regulations in a way that are harmful to our sector.’

In a separate interview with Germany’s Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung, he said Deutsche was sticking to its target of making a pre-tax return on equity of 25 per cent over the business cycle. ‘That is our goal. Even in 2007, half of which was a time of crisis, we made 26 per cent. Geograhically and with our broad range of products we are positioned outstandingly for the megatrends.’

Asked about possible acquisitions, he said: ‘We do not feel pressured to act. We don’t have to buy anything, so we are strong enough. We are among the best in the world in the areas where we do business, but of course that does not mean that we will let a good buying opportunity pass us by.’ Deutsche Bank has flagged its interest in the German retail banking operations being put on the block by Citicorp and in Deutsche Postbank, which Deutsche Post is in the process of selling. — Reuters

Source : Business Times – 19 May 2008

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